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Friday, April 12, 2002

Hugo Chavez Steps Down

This morning, my first real "news input" of the day was a message from Brian Carnell's site about the violence in Venezuela last night that resulted in the deaths of twelve protestors.

Later I heard the same story on NPR, but they also mentioned that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez resigned his post, effective immediately, after the violence.

NPR says that it was a result of pressure from the military, but they didn't explain that this pressure has been a constant for months. Strategic Forecasting has been predicting his political demise for some time.

This could be significant in the U.S. mainly because Venezuela produces a lot of oil. Any changes in the political landscape could be reflected in a change in their adherence to OPEC's quotas and limits on oil production. Venezuela is not a member of OPEC, but (as with most oil producing countries) they generally go along with whatever the cartel decides. (That's a slight exaggeration... but they do follow OPEC's edicts as closely as most of the cartel members do, which is to say "when it suits their interest to do so.")


April, 2002
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